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The 13Year Curse

Rasta wrote:The 13Year Curse

With comments from Jim Sinclair:
Dear Jim,

What is your take on the recent article on gold with the title "The

13 Year curse?"

Regards,
CIGA Arlen

Dear Arlen,

If all you need to be able to do is to count from one to thirteen in order to be a master gold trader all my dogs would have trading accounts and would take care of me.

Sheeple love simple, and that article was as simple as you can get.

Regards,
Jim

Like I quoted before ..... I'm still convinced that Armstrong/s cycle theory is spot on, if he fills in the corresponding facts afterwards.

Now here is my personal prediction (as a rookie of course):
$-Gold will increase into the $ 5000 and then wil form a rhino horn into the $ 10.000. After that it will level out at +/- $ 4.500

Ouch, Jim is clear in his statement here

Indiana Jones wrote:Like I quoted before ..... I'm still convinced that Armstrong/s cycle theory is spot on, if he fills in the corresponding facts afterwards.

Now here is my personal prediction (as a rookie of course):
$-Gold will increase into the $ 5000 and then wil form a rhino horn into the $ 10.000. After that it will level out at +/- $ 4.500

agree he is spot on.
but afterwards is easy. even boefke could do that ...

I still state he is also spot on in his forecastings.
I haven't read anything he wrote that didn't match reality.
It's interpretation of constant moving markets, so forecasts will change when environments change.
The change is in the turning points. the direction of the change is open and depends on what is happening in other markets.
This is all related. Nothing changes by itself. This is utmost complicated, this is in fact us, It's our own behaviour he is modelling.

Jim looking at his dogs is completely missing the point ...

I'm not charging a ridiculous fee for the afterwards forecasts......lol.

But, I'm honoured for being placed on the same level as Marty. This is how should be looked at his changing predictions.....say what people love to hear.

Almost March, can't wait for Germany to leave the Euro

Still Armstrong is a brilliant guy, but I don't always agree with him. For example his prediction that in 2012 the Euro will default and die and the dollar will be the big survivor because it's the World Reserve Currency (WRC).

I predict that both the Euro and the Dollar won't die and the Dollar will lose it's hegemony as WRC ........

With Armstrongs' tracking record my best guess is that he will change this prediction about the dying Euro around September/October. No, more likely he will change it's turning point from negative to positive. The Euro will be the survivor and the $ will die.....

This way everyone can be right about anything, unbelievable the amount of people chasing his words.

My prediction, Armstrong will change his predictions more than the Euro-zone will get rid of members.

If you would have read you would have known he already changed these forecasts
Germany leaving the euro is my forecast. not his. he never stated anything like that.
(and it doesn't seem to likely at the moment. Will probably take a little while longer.)

and no boefke. I don't think you are on the same level as Marty. on the contrary.
in fact. nobody would pay you any fee. one would need to be paid to listen.
you not charging anything is a little besides the point here no ?

and indy. just for thoughts.
if theory is right afterwards, then it was also right upfront,
It would be the forecasters fault not being able to interprete the theory and the variables in the correct way on the correct time.
He'll have to update his computing models ...

Armstrong's model is about the turningpoints. they are the TRUE lines in the sand.
direction of movement is something we all account for and is changing all of the time.
timing and confidence are crucial. The market is ALWAYS wright ...